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USD Buoyed Ahead of Data
The dollar bounced higher in overnight trading, recovering across the board following yesterday's sell-off. The greenback edged up to 2.0628 versus the sterling and 1.4730 against the euro. In the coming session, markets will look ahead to Q3 GDP, core PCE prices, weekly jobless claims and new home sales. The economy is seen expanding by 4.8% in the third quarter, up from 3.9% previously. New home sales are expected to slip to 750k units, down from 770k units in September. The greenback recovered from the declines prompted by the heightened anticipation that the Fed will ease rates again in December following yesterday's dovish comments from Fed Vice Chairman Kohn. We view the dollar's strength as a short-term corrective move and look for the downtrend to remain in place against the major currencies. Cable Retreats Consumer credit for October increased to 1.439 billion sterling, up from 1.322 billion sterling. Mortgage approvals dropped to its lowest level since February 2005, at 88k versus 100k from September. Final M4 money supply edged up by 0.2% m/m and 11.8% y/y in October - marking its lowest annual rate since May 2006. Cable retreated sharply from just shy of 2.0850 yesterday and pulling back to trendline support around 2.0630 in early Thursday trading. We look for the pair to stabilize around the 2.06-figure and expect bullish momentum to push the pair back toward the 2.0850-2.09 region in the coming sessions. |