EURUSD: EUR Enters Into A Corrective Mode, Targets The 1.3005/58 Area.
EURUSD: Nearer term consolidation to corrective phases now seen in the entire G10 currency complex and our own 7-currency model analysis now suggest that EUR should head further higher towards the 1.3005/58 area, its Oct 23’08 high/.618 Ret (0.8231-1.6038 rally, monthly chart) following its corrective bounce off the 1.2330 level Tuesday. We should see a cap at the 1.3005/58 area or even the 1.3259 level followed with the pair turning south again in alignment with its broader medium term weakness. In the meantime, loss of price momentum from the current upmove if seen is expected to target the 1.2728 level, its Oct 22’08 low with a failure of there setting the stage for a decline towards the 1.2484 level, its Oct 06 low and then its Jan/April’06 highs at 1.2334/24.Break and close below the latter is required to trigger the resumption of the pair’s medium decline off the 1.6038 high the 1.1827 level, its Mar’06 low and eventually the 1.1640 level, its Nov’05 low. On the whole, EUR’s medium term downtrend is expected to resume on ending its present corrective upmove.
SupportComments
1.2728Oct 22’08 low
1.2484 Oct’06 low
1.2334/24Jan/April’06 highs
1.1827Mar’06 low
ResistanceComments
1.2866Jan’07 low
1.2980Jun’06 high
1.3058.618 Ret (0.8231-1.6038 rally, monthly chart)
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