EURUSD: Nearer Term Corrective Upside Triggered Off The LT Rising Trendline.
EURUSD: Unlike GBP, EUR retained a bullish nearer term tone Wednesday closing higher at 1.4745 and trading higher (1.4807) in early session today. This is coming on the back of a bounce on Tuesday off its LT rising trendline established since Jan’06.The mentioned follow through to the upside should now target the 1.4814 level, its August 12’08 low ahead of the 1.4967/51 zone (its range highs from Nov’07 and Jan’08/.618 Ret) and the 1.5304/1.5285 zone (May/Jun’08 lows).While these two strong resistance levels hold, EUR is expected to turn lower and resume itsbroader weakness triggered off the 1.6037 high. The daily Stochastics has turned higher above the oversold territory, its first since dipping below there in late July’08.This remains in alignment with its nearer term corrective tone. Supports now come in the 1.4728 level, its .786 Ret (1.4310-1.6038 rally) with a loss of there setting the stage for a move towards its August 19’08 low at 1.4630 and next its LT trendline/range breakout point at 1.4580/65.Further decline through the latter will risk losses towards the 1.4364 level, its Jan 22’08 low. On the whole, with EUR retaining a bullish nearer term positive tone supported by a higher stochastics, strength is likely to be seen nearer term though such gains remain corrective of its recent declines.
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